Module XXI·Article III·~5 min read

Due Diligence and Company Valuation

Private Equity

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Due Diligence and Company Valuation

Due Diligence in Private Equity: comprehensive analysis
Due Diligence (DD) is a systematic investigation of a company before investment, allowing confirmation of the investment thesis, identification of risks, and determination of fair value. In PE transactions, DD typically lasts 4–12 weeks and costs $1–5 million for large transactions.

Due Diligence Focus Areas

Type of DDFocusPerformerTypical Cost
Commercial DDMarket, competition, customersStrategy consultants (Bain, McKinsey)$300–800K
Financial DDEarnings quality, working capitalBig 4, specialized firms$200–500K
Legal DDContracts, litigation, IPLaw firms$300–700K
Tax DDTax risks, structuringBig 4 tax practice$100–300K
Operational DDProcesses, IT, HROperations consultants$150–400K
ESG DDEnvironmental, Social, GovernanceSpecialized consultants$50–150K

Commercial Due Diligence

Evaluation of market attractiveness and company’s position:

Key questions:

  • Market size (TAM/SAM/SOM): How large is the addressable market?
  • Growth rates: What drives growth—volume, price, mix?
  • Competitive dynamics: Concentration, barriers to entry, threat of substitution
  • Pricing power: Can the company raise prices?
  • Customer concentration: Share of top-10 clients
  • Retention rates: NRR, churn, customer lifetime value

Red Flags in Commercial DD:

  • More than 20% of revenue from a single client
  • Declining market share
  • Technological disruption in the industry
  • Product commoditization
  • Regulatory threats

Financial Due Diligence and Quality of Earnings

Quality of Earnings (QoE) — the key product of financial DD, showing the “true” EBITDA of the company:

Normalized EBITDA Adjustments

CategoryExample adjustmentDirection
Non-recurring itemsLegal expenses, restructuring costsAdd-back
Owner adjustmentsExcess owner compensation, related party transactionsAdd-back
Pro forma adjustmentsFull-year effect of acquisitionsAdd-back
Run-rate synergiesRealized cost savingsAdd-back
Aggressive revenue recognitionPremature revenue recognitionDeduction
Understated expensesDeferred capex, deferred maintenanceDeduction
One-time revenueUnusual contracts, catch-up paymentsDeduction

Example of QoE bridge:

MetricAmount ($M)
Reported EBITDA50.0
+ One-time legal settlement2.5
+ Former CEO excess compensation1.8
+ COVID-related costs1.2
- Aggressive revenue recognition(3.0)
- Below-market rent (related party)(0.8)
- Deferred maintenance capex(1.5)
Adjusted EBITDA50.2

Working Capital Analysis

A critically important element of financial DD:

MetricFormulaWhat is analyzed
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)AR / Revenue × 365Trend, comparison with peers, aging
Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)Inventory / COGS × 365Obsolescence risk, turnover
Days Payable Outstanding (DPO)AP / COGS × 365Sustainability, supplier terms
Cash Conversion CycleDSO + DIO - DPOEfficiency, working capital needs

Net Working Capital Peg

In the SPA (Share Purchase Agreement), a target NWC is set—deviations adjust the purchase price:

  • NWC above target → Price increase for seller
  • NWC below target → Price decrease / payment to buyer
  • Typical mechanism: dollar-for-dollar adjustment

Company Valuation Methods

  1. DCF (Discounted Cash Flow)

Fundamental valuation based on future cash flows:

  • FCF projection: 5–10 years detailed projection
  • Terminal Value: Gordon Growth or Exit Multiple
  • WACC: Weighted Average Cost of Capital
  • Limitations: Sensitivity to assumptions
  1. LBO Analysis

“How much can a PE fund pay for a target IRR?”:

  • Determining maximum entry price at 20% IRR
  • Considers debt capacity and exit assumptions
  • Practical floor for valuation in the PE context
  1. Comparable Companies (Trading Comps)

Valuation based on multiples of public peers:

MultipleWhen to useTypical Range
EV/RevenueEarly-stage, high growth, unprofitable1–10x (tech: 5–20x)
EV/EBITDAMature companies with positive EBITDA6–15x
EV/EBITCapital-intensive industries8–18x
P/EFinancial firms, stable businesses10–25x
  1. Precedent Transactions

Multiples of recent M&A deals in the sector:

Advantages:

  • Includes control premium

Disadvantages:

  • Different deal terms, timing

Control premium: Usually 20–40% above trading value

Key metrics by sector

SectorKey metricTypical multiple
Software/SaaSARR, NRR, Rule of 408–15x ARR
Healthcare ServicesEBITDA, same-store growth10–14x EBITDA
IndustrialEBITDA, backlog7–10x EBITDA
Consumer/RetailEBITDA, comp sales6–9x EBITDA
Financial ServicesP/E, P/Book10–15x P/E
Real EstateNOI, Cap Rate15–25x NOI

Red Flags Checklist

AreaRed FlagAction
FinancialSignificant EBITDA adjustments (>20%)Deep sustainability analysis
FinancialDeteriorating cash conversionWorking capital deep-dive
FinancialRelated party transactionsLegal review, normalization
CommercialCustomer concentration >25%Customer reference calls
CommercialDeclining prices/marginsCompetitive analysis
LegalPending litigation >5% EVLegal opinion, contingency reserve
TaxAggressive tax positionsTax opinion, indemnity
ManagementHigh turnover, key person riskRetention packages, non-competes
OperationalDeferred capex, aging equipmentCapex plan, adjustment to price
ESGEnvironmental liabilitiesEnvironmental assessment, insurance

DD Timeline and Process

WeekActivitiesDeliverables
1–2Data room review, initial analysisPreliminary findings, request list
3–4Management presentations, site visitsCommercial DD draft
5–6Expert calls, customer interviewsQoE draft, Tax memo
7–8Final analysis, issue resolutionFinal DD reports
9–10SPA negotiation, closing conditionsInvestment Committee memo

Recommendations for Investors

  • Do not skimp on DD: The cost is 0.5–1% of deal size but protects against catastrophic mistakes
  • Integrate workstreams: Commercial and Financial DD should be aligned
  • Challenge management: Independently verify assumptions
  • Focus on risks: DD should identify not only upside, but also downside
  • Document everything: For future disputes and investment committee

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