Module IV·Article I·~2 min read

US Treasuries and Bunds

Fixed Income: Advanced Level

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US Treasuries and Bunds

Sovereign bonds of the G7: global benchmarks
Government bonds of developed countries (G7) are the foundation of the global financial system. They determine the "risk-free" rate, serve as a benchmark for all other assets, and are a key instrument of monetary policy.

US Treasuries: the global standard
US Treasuries are the largest and most liquid debt market in the world ($25+ trillion). The yield on 10Y Treasury is the main benchmark for the entire global financial system.

InstrumentTermFeaturesTypical investors
T-Bills4, 8, 13, 26, 52 weeksDiscounted (no coupon), weekly auctionsMoney market funds, corporate cash
T-Notes2, 3, 5, 7, 10 yearsSemiannual coupon, main trading volumePension funds, foreign central banks
T-Bonds20, 30 yearsHigh duration, volatilityInsurance, liability matching
TIPS5, 10, 30 yearsPrincipal indexed to CPIInflation hedgers
FRN2 yearsFloating rate (T-bill + spread)Protection from rising rates

Advantages of US Treasuries

  • Liquidity — daily trading volume $600+ billion
  • Safety — full faith and credit of the US government
  • Tax benefits — exemption from state/local tax
  • Reserve currency — dollar = 60% of world reserves

German Bunds: European benchmark
Bunds are German government bonds, the main benchmark for the eurozone. Historically traded at a premium (lower yields) to other EU countries due to fiscal discipline.

ParameterGerman BundsComment
Market size~€1.5 trillionSmaller than US, but very liquid
Typical terms2, 5, 10, 30 yearsSchatz (2Y), Bobl (5Y), Bund (10Y)
RatingAAAHighest rating
FeatureNegative rates (2015-2022)Investors paid for safety

Japanese Government Bonds (JGB)
A unique market with special characteristics:

  • Size — ~$9 trillion, second largest
  • Ownership — BoJ owns >50% of the market (result of QE)
  • Yield Curve Control (YCC) — BoJ keeps 10Y around 0%
  • Low liquidity — due to BoJ dominance
  • Carry trade — source of cheap funding (JPY)

UK Gilts
British government bonds:

  • Inflation-linked Gilts — largest inflation linker market
  • Pension fund exposure — huge demand from the pension industry
  • 2022 crisis — LDI crisis demonstrated risks of concentration

Comparison of yields (historical averages)

Country10Y Yield (2023)Spread to BundsRating
USA4.5%+200 bpAA+
Germany2.5%AAA
United Kingdom4.3%+180 bpAA
Japan0.7%-180 bpA+
France3.0%+50 bpAA
Italy4.4%+190 bpBBB

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