Module IV·Article I·~2 min read
US Treasuries and Bunds
Fixed Income: Advanced Level
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US Treasuries and Bunds
Sovereign bonds of the G7: global benchmarks
Government bonds of developed countries (G7) are the foundation of the global financial system. They determine the "risk-free" rate, serve as a benchmark for all other assets, and are a key instrument of monetary policy.
US Treasuries: the global standard
US Treasuries are the largest and most liquid debt market in the world ($25+ trillion). The yield on 10Y Treasury is the main benchmark for the entire global financial system.
| Instrument | Term | Features | Typical investors |
|---|---|---|---|
| T-Bills | 4, 8, 13, 26, 52 weeks | Discounted (no coupon), weekly auctions | Money market funds, corporate cash |
| T-Notes | 2, 3, 5, 7, 10 years | Semiannual coupon, main trading volume | Pension funds, foreign central banks |
| T-Bonds | 20, 30 years | High duration, volatility | Insurance, liability matching |
| TIPS | 5, 10, 30 years | Principal indexed to CPI | Inflation hedgers |
| FRN | 2 years | Floating rate (T-bill + spread) | Protection from rising rates |
Advantages of US Treasuries
- Liquidity — daily trading volume $600+ billion
- Safety — full faith and credit of the US government
- Tax benefits — exemption from state/local tax
- Reserve currency — dollar = 60% of world reserves
German Bunds: European benchmark
Bunds are German government bonds, the main benchmark for the eurozone. Historically traded at a premium (lower yields) to other EU countries due to fiscal discipline.
| Parameter | German Bunds | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Market size | ~€1.5 trillion | Smaller than US, but very liquid |
| Typical terms | 2, 5, 10, 30 years | Schatz (2Y), Bobl (5Y), Bund (10Y) |
| Rating | AAA | Highest rating |
| Feature | Negative rates (2015-2022) | Investors paid for safety |
Japanese Government Bonds (JGB)
A unique market with special characteristics:
- Size — ~$9 trillion, second largest
- Ownership — BoJ owns >50% of the market (result of QE)
- Yield Curve Control (YCC) — BoJ keeps 10Y around 0%
- Low liquidity — due to BoJ dominance
- Carry trade — source of cheap funding (JPY)
UK Gilts
British government bonds:
- Inflation-linked Gilts — largest inflation linker market
- Pension fund exposure — huge demand from the pension industry
- 2022 crisis — LDI crisis demonstrated risks of concentration
Comparison of yields (historical averages)
| Country | 10Y Yield (2023) | Spread to Bunds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 4.5% | +200 bp | AA+ |
| Germany | 2.5% | — | AAA |
| United Kingdom | 4.3% | +180 bp | AA |
| Japan | 0.7% | -180 bp | A+ |
| France | 3.0% | +50 bp | AA |
| Italy | 4.4% | +190 bp | BBB |
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